Blue Jays betting trends: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. generating lift-off

The first batch of MLB all-star voting results was revealed this week. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the Toronto Blue Jays' brightest star. Alejandro Kirk is also a player who could be an all star candidate.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a 55.7% hard-hit rate. His average exit velocity stayed high even when he went into a slump in May.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on a good run in June. He's cleared the multi-base prop in 12 of 21 games and has eight home runs. His ground ball rate has dropped, but he's still crushing line drives.

Matt Chapman has been the unluckiest Blue Jay this season. His .304 wOBA is 50 points behind the expected mark, and his .382 slugging percentage is 105 points below the mark.

May was a frustrating month for the first-year Blue Jay.

Chapman has had a better June this year (130 wRC+). If Chapman's true self in 2022 resembles his June output, bettors will be able to nab value with him on a matchup-by-matchup basis.

George Springer is the only qualified Toronto hitter with a slugging percentage that exceeds Baseball Savant’s expectation. Kirk has been on a tear since mid-May. He's been outstanding for the Blue Jays, but his wOBA is 18th among all big-leaguers.

The Blue Jays have a record in the first five innings (F5) compared to their overall record (39-30). The bullpen ranked 22nd in ERA (4.32), 24th in fWAR (0.5), 26th in FIP ( 4.23). They have Jordan Romano, Adam Cimber and Tim Mayza. The late-game edge for Toronto comes from the batter's box.