Mavericks vs. Pacers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

bleachernation.com

27 March 2023

Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (36-39) enter their game against the Tyrese Haliburton-led Indiana Pacers (33-42) on March 27, 2023 as a 6-point favorite. The matchup’s point total is 236.5.

Mavericks vs. Pacers Odds

Mavericks odds to win: -235
Pacers odds to win: +195
Spread: Mavericks (-6)
Total: 236.5

Mavericks vs. Pacers Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

When: Monday, March 27, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana
TV: NBA TV, BSIN, and BSSW

Who Will Win Mavericks vs. Pacers?

Mavericks and Pacers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Mavericks have a 5-22-1 record against the spread when favored by 6 points or more this season.

The Pacers have a 12-8 record against the spread when an underdog by 6 points or more this season.

The Mavericks and the Pacers combine to average 7.0 fewer points per game than the over/under of 236.5 set for this game.

Dallas and Indiana have seen its opponents average a combined 4.5 fewer points per game than the point total of 236.5 set for this outing.

The average point total for Mavericks games this season is 9.4 fewer points than the over/under of 236.5 in this matchup.

The average point total for Indiana this season is 2.2 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

Dallas is 27-44-4 against the spread this season.

The Pacers have a 39-35-1 record against the spread this year.

Mavericks Stats & Insights

The Mavericks score 113.7 points per game (17th in the NBA) and allow 113.4 (15th in the league) for a +20 scoring differential overall.

The Mavericks pull down 38.7 rebounds per game (30th in the league) while allowing 44.2 per contest to their opponents. They are outrebounded by 5.5 boards per game.

Dallas connects on 4.1 more threes per game than the opposition, 15.1 (third-most in the league) compared to its opponents’ 11.

The Mavericks put up 114.1 points per 100 possessions (eighth in the league), while allowing 113.7 points per 100 possessions (20th in the NBA).

The Mavericks’ offense has been much better at home (115.2 PPG) compared to road games (112.1 PPG). Likewise, their defense has been better at home (111.8 PPG allowed) when compared to road games (115.1 PPG allowed).

Pacers Stats & Insights

The Pacers are being outscored by 2.8 points per game, with a -208 scoring differential overall. They put up 115.8 points per game (11th in NBA), and allow 118.6 per outing (27th in league).

Indiana ranks 24th in the NBA at 41.5 rebounds per game. That’s 3.8 fewer than the 45.3 its opponents average.

The Pacers connect on 13.7 three-pointers per game (sixth-most in the league) while shooting 36.4% from beyond the arc (13th in NBA). They are making 1.3 more threes than their opponents, who drain 12.4 per game at 37.3%.

The Pacers average 110.6 points per 100 possessions (24th in league), while conceding 114.8 points per 100 possessions (24th in NBA).

At home, Indiana scores 118.6 points per game. On the road, it scores 113.2.

Mavericks Key Players to Watch

Doncic accumulates 33.1 points and 8.7 rebounds and 8.2 assists per game.

Tim Hardaway Jr. leads active Mavericks in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.9 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Doncic averages 1.4 steals per game, while Christian Wood swats 1.1 shots per contest.

Pacers Key Players to Watch

Haliburton’s showing this season has resulted in strong scoring and assists numbers, with 20.7 points per game and 10.4 assists per game to go with 3.7 rebounds per contest.

Myles Turner has per-game averages of 18 points, 1.4 assists and 7.5 rebounds this season.

Haliburton averages 2.9 made threes per game.

The Pacers’ defensive efforts get a boost from Haliburton (1.6 steals per game) and Turner (2.3 blocks per game).