Mavericks vs. Pistons Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The Detroit Pistons (10-52) are 7-point underdogs against the Dallas Mavericks (35-28) at Little Caesars Arena on Saturday, March 9, 2024. The game begins at 7:00 PM ET on BSDE. The matchup has an over/under set at 235.5 points.

Mavericks vs. Pistons Odds

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Who Will Win Mavericks vs. Pistons?

Mavericks and Pistons Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Mavericks have a 6-4 record against the spread this season when favored by 7 points or more.

When they have played as at least 7-point underdogs this year, the Pistons are 23-19-1 against the spread.

The two teams average a combined 4.6 fewer points per game (230.9) than this matchup’s over/under of 235.5 points.

Dallas and Detroit have seen its opponents average a combined 3.4 more points per game than the over/under of 235.5 set in this game.

The average point total in Mavericks games this season is 1.3 more points than the total of 235.5 in this matchup.

The average point total for Detroit this season is 2.5 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

So far this season, Dallas has put together a 33-30-0 record against the spread.

The Pistons have gone 31-30-1 ATS this year.

Mavericks Stats & Insights

The Mavericks average 118.7 points per game (sixth in the league) while allowing 118.1 per contest (24th in the NBA). They have a +32 scoring differential overall.

The Mavericks lose the rebound battle by 3.1 boards on average. They record 42.2 rebounds per game, which ranks 23rd in the league, while their opponents pull down 45.3 per outing.

Dallas connects on 15.0 three-pointers per game (second-most in the league) at a 37.3% rate (12th in the NBA), compared to the 13.4 per game its opponents make at a 37.2% rate.

The Mavericks score 119.1 points per 100 possessions (seventh in the league), while giving up 118.5 points per 100 possessions (22nd in the NBA).

In the 2023-24 campaign, the Mavericks score 3.2 more points per home game on average than on the road (120.1 at home, 116.9 on the road), but are giving up 2.9 fewer points per home game compared to road games (116.8 at home, 119.7 on the road).

Pistons Stats & Insights

The Pistons have been outscored by 8.6 points per game (posting 112.2 points per game, 23rd in league, while conceding 120.8 per contest, 27th in NBA) and have a -536 scoring differential.

Detroit averages 43.4 rebounds per game (16th in league), compared to the 42.5 of its opponents.

The Pistons connect on 11.3 three-pointers per game (29th in the league), while their opponents have made 12.0 on average.

The Pistons rank 25th in the NBA with 112.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 27th defensively with 120.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.

Detroit is scoring fewer points at home (111.6 per game) than on the road (112.7).

Mavericks Key Players to Watch

Luka Doncic accumulates 34.6 points and 9.0 rebounds and 9.8 assists per game.

Doncic makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Mavericks, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.9 per contest.

Doncic averages 1.4 steals per game, while Daniel Gafford has 2.2 blocks per contest.

Pistons Key Players to Watch

The Pistons go-to guy, Cade Cunningham, leads active Pistons players in both scoring (22.4 points per game) and assists (7.5 assists per game).

Jalen Duren’s per-game averages this season are 13.9 points, 2.6 assists and 11.8 rebounds.

Cunningham hits 2.0 threes per game.

Ausar Thompson’s 1.1 steals and 1.0 block per game are important to the Pistons’ defensive production.

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