2023 NASCAR at the Brickyard odds, predictions, lineup, start time: Model reveals surprising Verizon 200 picks

The NASCAR Cup Series season continues on Sunday with the 2023 Verizon 200 at the Brickyard, run at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway Grand Prix Circuit. The green flag is scheduled to drop at 2:30 p.m. ET and there are only three races remaining until the start of the NASCAR Playoffs. The Brickyard is one of the most famed racing venues in the world and the NASCAR Cup Series began running on the 14-turn, 2.439-mile Indianapolis Grand Prix Circuit in 2021 as part of an increased emphasis on road racing.

Points leader Martin Truex Jr. is the 4-1 favorite in the latest 2023 Verizon 200 odds, followed by defending Indy Grand Prix winner Tyler Reddick at 5-1. Chicago Road Race winner Shane Van Gisbergen will make his first start since his historic win on the streets of Chicago and is 11-1 in the NASCAR at the Brickyard odds. Before scouring the 2023 Verizon 200 at the Brickyard starting lineup and making any 2023 NASCAR at Indianapolis predictions, be sure to see the latest 2023 NASCAR at Indianapolis picks from SportsLine's proven NASCAR model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1) as well as his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). In Austin, it listed Tyler Reddick as one of its best values and he went on to win for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. 

All told, the model has nailed a whopping 13 winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.

Top 2023 Verizon 200 at the Brickyard predictions

For the 2023 Verizon 200, the model is high on A.J. Allmendinger, even though he's a 15-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Indy odds. After being out of a Cup car for two years, Allmendinger got his career back on track by winning the inaugural Indianapolis Grand Prix in 2021, earning a part-time ride in 2022 in which he earned eight top-10 finishes in 18 starts.

Those performances got him back into the NASCAR Cup Series full-time in 2023 for Matthew Kaulig and he's been able to earn a quartet of top-10 finishes thus far, including a sixth-place finish at Daytona and a season-best third in Atlanta. Allmendinger also won the NASCAR Xfinity Series race on the Indianapolis Motor Speedway Grand Prix Circuit last season, and that track knowledge should come in handy this week. See who else to back at SportsLine.

And a massive shocker: The model says Christopher Bell, one of the Vegas favorites at 19-2, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top 10. There are far better values in the 2023 Verizon 200 at the Brickyard starting lineup. Bell is fourth in the NASCAR standings, giving Joe Gibbs Racing another trio of legitimate title-contenders.

However, Bell has finished outside the top 10 in five of his last six and nine of his last 12 starts. While he does have a pair of road-course wins to his credit in his Cup career, Bell has finished ninth and 31st in two road races this season and has led a total of one lap in those two races. He has also failed to crack the top 10 in each of his first two NASCAR Cup Series starts on the Indianapolis Grand Prix Circuit. See which other drivers to avoid at SportsLine.

How to make 2023 NASCAR at Indianapolis picks

The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2023 NASCAR at the Brickyard odds of 15-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

So who wins the Verizon 200 at the Brickyard 2023? And which longshots are a must-back? Check out the latest 2023 NASCAR at Indianapolis odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2023 NASCAR at the Brickyard leaderboard, all from the model that already nailed seven winners in 2023.

2023 Verizon 200 at the Brickyard odds, drivers, lineup

Martin Truex Jr. 4-1Tyler Reddick 5-1Chase Elliott 15-2Christopher Bell 19-2Kyle Busch 10-1Kyle Larson 10-1Shane Van Gisbergen 11-1A.J. Allmendinger 15-1Denny Hamlin 16-1Brodie Kostecki 18-1Chris Buescher 20-1Daniel Suarez 22-1William Byron 22-1Ross Chastain 25-1Michael McDowell 25-1Austin Cindric 26-1Joey Logano 30-1Ty Gibbs 40-1Ryan Blaney 40-1Kevin Harvick 60-1Chase Briscoe 60-1Alex Bowman 60-1Brad Keselowski 65-1Kamui Kobayashi 75-1Justin Haley 80-1Jenson Button 100-1Austin Dillon 200-1Bubba Wallace 200-1Erik Jones 200-1Aric Almirola 300-1Todd Gilliland 300-1Ryan Preece 400-1Corey Lajoie 500-1Mike Rockenfeller 500-1Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 500-1Harrison Burton 500-1Ty Dillon 1500-1Andy Lally 1500-1