2023 Wurth 400 odds, picks: Projected NASCAR leaderboard, predictions for Dover from proven model

The NASCAR Cup Series will continue on Sunday with the 2023 Wurth 400 at Dover Motor Speedway. The green flag is scheduled to drop at 2 p.m. ET at "The Monster Mile," which has hosted NASCAR since 1969. Kyle Larson is the 9-2 favorite in the 2023 NASCAR at Dover odds from Caesars Sportsbookn with his Hendrick Motorsports teammates William Byron and Chase Elliott next on the board at 13-2.

Our proven projection model has simulated the race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), and Kyle Larson's win at Martinsville (6-1). In Austin, it listed Tyler Reddick as one of its best values and he went on to win for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 10 winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.  

Now, the model has dialed in on the Wurth 400 2023 and released its projections. 

We can tell you the model is high on Kyle Busch, even though he's a 14-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Dover odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: William Byron, one of the top Vegas favorites at 13-2, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top five! There are far better values in the 2023 Wurth 400 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting two other driverswith 2023 NASCAR at Dover odds of 12-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag!Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.