2023 NASCAR at Martinsville predictions, odds, start time: Model reveals surprising NOCO 400 picks

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2023 NASCAR at Martinsville predictions, odds, start time: Model reveals surprising NOCO 400 picks

Martinsville Speedway has been a fixture on the NASCAR schedule since 1949. The NASCAR Cup Series will make its first of two trips this season to the 0.526-mile paperclip-shaped oval on Sunday for the 2023 NOCO 400, with the green flag dropping at 3 p.m. ET. Christopher Bell sits atop the NASCAR standings as he heads to NASCAR at Martinsville 2023 coming off a win in the Bristol Dirt Race last week. He'll hope to extend that lead at a track he feels comfortable on, having won the Xfinity 500 there last October.

He's one of four drivers listed as 6-1 co-favorites in the 2023 NOCO 400 odds from Caesars Sportsbook along with Kyle Larson, William Byron and teammate Martin Truex Jr. But with seven different race winners already this season, many NASCAR bettors may consider targeting drivers further down the 2023 NASCAR at Martinsville odds board for their 2023 NOCO 400 bets. Before scouring the 2023 NOCO 400 starting lineup and making any 2023 NASCAR at Martinsville predictions, be sure to see the latest 2023 NOCO 400 picks from SportsLine's proven NASCAR model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), and Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1). Then it called Tyler Reddick one of its best values when he won in Austin for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping nine winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.

Top 2023 NOCO 400 predictions

One surprise: the model is high on Alex Bowman, even though he's an 18-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Martinsville odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The soon-to-be 30-year-old has made the NASCAR playoffs the last five seasons and is already a seven-time winner in the NASCAR Cup Series.

He's been top 10 in six of the eight races held so far this season and will be able to lean on a Hendrick Motorsports setup that has had plenty of success in recent years. The team has won three of the last five races at Martinsville, with Bowman winning the 2021 Xfinity 500 on a day where his team led 375 of the 500 laps run. See who else to back at SportsLine.

And a massive shocker: Christopher Bell, one of the Vegas favorites at 6-1, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top five. There are far better values in the 2023 NOCO 400 starting lineup. Bell has an extensive dirt track background that he was able to lean on to win the Bristol Dirt Race last week and vault himself to the top of the NASCAR standings.

While he won the most recent race at Martinsville, he's only led laps in one other race and finished outside the top 10 in four of his six career starts on the iconic short track. Bell is an unquestionable talent, but with the Next-Gen car creating parity since the start of the 2022 season, it's hard to find value in the co-favorite here. See which other drivers to avoid at SportsLine.

How to make 2023 NASCAR at Martinsville picks

The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2023 Martinsville NASCAR odds of 12-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

2023 NOCO 400 odds, lineup

Kyle Larson 6-1Martin Truex Jr. 6-1William Byron 6-1Christopher Bell 6-1Denny Hamlin 7-1Ryan Blaney 10-1Joey Logano 10-1Kyle Busch 12-1Ross Chastain 15-1Brad Keselowski 18-1Alex Bowman 18-1Kevin Harvick 20-1Tyler Reddick 25-1Josh Berry 25-1Chase Briscoe 30-1Ryan Preece 40-1Bubba Wallace 40-1Aric Almirola 40-1Daniel Suarez 40-1Chris Buescher 40-1Austin Dillon 50-1Ty Gibbs 60-1Austin Cindric 60-1A.J. Allmendinger 110-1Erik Jones 125-1Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 200-1Justin Haley 250-1Michael McDowell 300-1Harrison Burton 300-1Noah Gragson 500-1Todd Gilliland 500-1Corey Lajoie 1000-1Ty Dillon 1500-1Anthony Alfredo 2500-1