NASCAR at Phoenix odds, predictions, start time: Model reveals surprising 2024 Shriners Children's 500 picks
The 2024 Shriners Children's 500 will take place on Sunday at Phoenix Raceway with the green flag scheduled to drop at 3:30 p.m. ET. The track has hosted the NASCAR championship race the last four seasons and the spring race has also produced plenty of excitement, with overtime finishes in 2020 and 2023. Now, Hendrick Motorsports hopes to continue its exciting start to the season after William Byron and Kyle Larson won at Daytona and Las Vegas.
After his win last week, Larson is the 11-2 favorite in the 2024 Shriners Children's 500 odds, while Byron is 15-2. Defending NASCAR champion Ryan Blaney is sandwiched between the two at 7-1 in the 2024 NASCAR at Phoenix odds, while Denny Hamlin is 8-1. Before scouring the 2024 Shriners Children's 500 starting lineup and making any 2024 NASCAR at Phoenix predictions, be sure to see the latest 2024 Shriners Children's 500 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
McClure's model was red-hot in 2023, nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1) as well as his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). The model correctly predicted winners in two of the playoff races as well, with Ryan Blaney scoring a 12-1 payout at Talladega and Larson winning at 9-2 in Las Vegas.
Then it called its first winner of the 2024 season last week with Larson in Las Vegas again, scoring a 21-5 payout for SportsLine subscribers. It also impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 16 winners since 2021, including nine last year alone. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.
Top 2024 Shriners Children's 500 predictions
For the 2024 Shriners Children's 500, the model is high on Chase Elliott, even though he's a 16-1 longshot in the latest 2024 NASCAR at Phoenix odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 2020 NASCAR Cup Series champion is already an 18-time winner, but he went winless and missed the playoffs for the first time in his career in 2023 and hasn't managed a top-10 finish yet in 2024.
However, he hasn't finished worse than 15th in a race yet this year and led 13 laps at the Daytona 500. Elliott won in Phoenix on his way to the championship in 2020 and has managed a total of eight top-10 finishes on the one-mile dogleg oval in 15 career Cup starts there. He's led 12% of the laps he's raced there during his career as well.
Another massive shocker: William Byron, one of the top Vegas favorites, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top five. There are far better values in the 2024 Shriners Children's 500 starting lineup. Byron led NASCAR with six victories in 2023 and captured his first Daytona 500 victory earlier this season.
He's an 11-time winner in the NASCAR Cup Series, but he's lost track position in his last two races, starting 11th and finishing 17th in Atlanta then starting fourth and finishing 10th last week in Las Vegas. Byron won the spring race in Phoenix last year, but finished a disappointing fourth after starting first with the title on the line last fall and was outside the top five in his first 10 Cup starts there. See which other drivers to avoid and the rest of the projected NASCAR leaderboard at SportsLine.
How to make 2024 NASCAR at Phoenix picks
The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2024 NASCAR Phoenix odds longer than 10-1 to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.
So who wins the Shriners Children's 500 2024, and which longshots are a must-back? Check out the latest 2024 NASCAR at Phoenix odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2024 NASCAR at Phoenix leaderboard, all from the model that has called 16 winners.
2024 Shriners Children's 500 odds, drivers, lineup
Kyle Larson 11-2Ryan Blaney 7-1William Byron 15-2Denny Hamlin 8-1Ross Chastain 10-1Christopher Bell 10-1Kyle Busch 11-1Martin Truex Jr. 11-1Joey Logano 12-1Tyler Reddick 12-1Chase Elliott 16-1Ty Gibbs 16-1Chase Briscoe 20-1Chris Buescher 20-1Brad Keselowski 25-1Bubba Wallace 35-1Alex Bowman 40-1Daniel Suarez 75-1Josh Berry 75-1Noah Gragson 100-1Ryan Preece 100-1Erik Jones 100-1Michael McDowell 100-1Austin Dillon 150-1Austin Cindric 150-1Corey Lajoie 200-1John Hunter Nemechek 300-1Carson Hocevar 300-1Zane Smith 500-1Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 500-1Harrison Burton 500-1Daniel Hemric 750-1Justin Haley 750-1Todd Gilliland 1000-1Derek Kraus 1500-1
