NASCAR at Atlanta odds, predictions, start time: Proven model makes surprising 2024 Ambetter Health 400 picks
William Byron is arguably the brightest young star in racing. He's coming off a six-win season and will head to Atlanta Motor Speedway this week as the 2024 Daytona 500 champion. Byron won the summer race in Atlanta last year and will try to start the NASCAR Cup Series season off with back-to-back wins on Sunday at the 2024 Ambetter Health 400. The race is scheduled for 260 laps around the 1.54-mile quad-oval and the green flag is scheduled to drop at 2:30 p.m. ET.
Joey Logano is the defending champion and the 9-1 favorite in the 2024 NASCAR at Atlanta odds. Meanwhile, Byron is priced at 12-1 in the 2024 Ambetter Health 400 odds and there are a total of eight drivers at that price or lower. Before scouring the 2024 Ambetter Health 400 starting lineup and making any 2024 NASCAR at Atlanta predictions, be sure to see the latest 2024 Ambetter Health 400 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
McClure's model was red-hot in 2023, nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1) as well as his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). The model correctly predicted winners in two of the playoff races as well, with Ryan Blaney scoring a 12-1 payout at Talladega and Larson winning at 9-2 in Las Vegas. It also impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021.
All told, the model has nailed a whopping 15 winners since 2021 and nine last year alone. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.
Top 2024 Ambetter Health 400 predictions
For the 2024 Ambetter Health 400, we can tell you the model is high on Martin Truex, Jr., even though he's a 15-1 longshot in the latest 2024 NASCAR at Atlanta odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 43-year-old rebounded from a winless season in which he missed the NASCAR playoffs in 2022 by winning three times in 2023, though he was likely still disappointed with an 11th-place finish in the NASCAR standings.
The 2017 NASCAR Cup Series champion is now a 34-time winner in NASCAR's top circuit, though none of those victories have come in Atlanta. However, he has collected 11 top-10 finishes at Atlanta Motor Speedway in his last 15 Cup starts there. Truex finished a respectable 15th last week in Daytona despite starting in 27th and will try for a strong finish at Atlanta this week.
Another massive shocker: Joey Logano, the Vegas favorite, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top five. There are far better values in the 2024 Ambetter Health 400 starting lineup. Despite winning the pole and leading 45 laps last week at Daytona, Logano was involved in the big crash late and wound up with a disappointing 32nd-place finish in the 2024 Daytona 500.
Now he'll head back to Atlanta as the defending champion of the Ambetter Health 400 but that was his only win of the season in 2023. Logano finished 17th in the summer race in Atlanta and his 12th-place finish in the NASCAR standings was his worst since missing the playoffs entirely in 2017. He's now finished outside the top 10 in six of his last nine Cup starts. See which other drivers to avoid and the rest of the projected NASCAR leaderboard at SportsLine.
How to make 2024 NASCAR at Atlanta picks
The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2024 NASCAR Atlanta odds of 14-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.
So who wins the Ambetter Health 400 2024, and which longshots are a must-back? Check out the latest 2024 NASCAR at Atlanta odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2024 NASCAR at Atlanta leaderboard, all from the model that has called 15 winners since 2021.
2024 Ambetter Health 400 odds, drivers, lineup
Joey Logano 9-1Denny Hamlin 19-2Brad Keselowski 10-1Ryan Blaney 10-1Christopher Bell 10-1Kyle Larson 12-1William Byron 12-1Chase Elliott 12-1Kyle Busch 14-1Martin Truex Jr. 15-1Bubba Wallace 18-1Tyler Reddick 20-1Ross Chastain 20-1Erik Jones 22-1Chris Buescher 22-1Ty Gibbs 25-1Austin Cindric 28-1Alex Bowman 28-1Michael McDowell 33-1Daniel Suarez 35-1Corey Lajoie 40-1Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 40-1Austin Dillon 45-1Chase Briscoe 50-1Noah Gragson 60-1Ryan Preece 65-1John Hunter Nemechek 65-1Josh Berry 75-1Todd Gilliland 75-1Carson Hocevar 75-1Harrison Burton 100-1Daniel Hemric 100-1Zane Smith 100-1Justin Haley 100-1Josh Williams 150-1Kaz Grala 250-1
