NASCAR at Las Vegas odds, predictions, start time: Model unveils surprising 2024 Pennzoil 400 picks
William Byron led all NASCAR drivers with six victories last season. If the start to his 2024 NASCAR Cup Series schedule is any indication, the 26-year-old could be on his way to dominate the winner's circle again this year. Byron won the Daytona 500 in the first event of the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series season and enters Sunday's 2024 Pennzoil 400 as one of the favorites. Byron is 8-1 in the 2024 Pennzoil odds after placing 17th last week following his Daytona 500 victory. Is there value in including him in your 2024 Pennzoil 400 predictions for NASCAR at Las Vegas?
The green flag will drop at 3:30 p.m. ET from Las Vegas Motor Speedway. Kyle Larson is the 21-5 favorite in the 2024 NASCAR at Las Vegas odds, with Christopher Bell joining Byron at 8-1. Last week, Daniel Suarez shocked many with a victory at 35-1 and he's now 60-1 to take the 2024 NASCAR at Las Vegas checkered flag. Before scouring the 2024 Pennzoil 400 starting lineup and making any 2024 NASCAR at Las Vegas predictions, be sure to see the latest 2024 Pennzoil 400 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
McClure's model was red-hot in 2023, nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1) as well as his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). The model correctly predicted winners in two of the playoff races as well, with Ryan Blaney scoring a 12-1 payout at Talladega and Larson winning at 9-2 in Las Vegas. It also impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021.
All told, the model has nailed a whopping 15 winners since 2021 and nine last year alone. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.
Top 2024 Pennzoil 400 predictions
For the 2024 Pennzoil 400, we can tell you the model is high on Ross Chastain, even though he's a 12-1 longshot in the latest 2024 NASCAR at Las Vegas odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Chastain finished seventh at the Ambetter Health 400 last week for his first top-10 result of the season after finishing in the top 10 on 14 occasions last year. Chastain ended last season with a victory in Phoenix on November 5 in the final race of the year.
Chastain made a strong first impression when he finished second in the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series standings in his first full-time season with Trackhouse Racing. He finished second and third in two races at Las Vegas Motor Speedway during that impressive 2022 campaign and has three top-five finishes in his last four NASCAR at Las Vegas starts. Given his strong close to last season and success and familiarity at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, he's a strong play in the model's projections for the 2024 Pennzoil 400, according to the model.
Another massive shocker: Christopher Bell, one of the top Vegas favorites, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top 10. There are far better values in the 2024 Pennzoil 400 starting lineup. The 29-year-old has managed six wins over the last three seasons and he's worked his way into the championship picture the last two seasons, finishing third in 2022 and fourth in 2023.
Bell finished third after leading 22 laps at Daytona but crashed in Atlanta last week and wound up 34th. He's finished outside the top 20 in four of his eight career starts in Las Vegas and he only has one win on a 1.5-mile oval in his NASCAR Cup Series career. See which other drivers to avoid and the rest of the projected NASCAR leaderboard at SportsLine.
How to make 2024 NASCAR at Las Vegas picks
The model is also targeting one other driver with 2024 NASCAR Las Vegas longer than 10-1 to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs this driver could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.
So who wins the Pennzoil 400 2024, and which longshot is a must-back? Check out the latest 2024 NASCAR at Las Vegas odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2024 NASCAR at Las Vegas leaderboard, all from the model that has called 15 winners.
2024 Pennzoil 400 odds, drivers, lineup
Kyle Larson 21-5William Byron 8-1Christopher Bell 8-1Denny Hamlin 9-1Ryan Blaney 9-1Kyle Busch 19-2Tyler Reddick 10-1Martin Truex Jr. 10-1Ross Chastain 12-1Brad Keselowski 15-1Chase Elliott 15-1Joey Logano 16-1Alex Bowman 22-1Bubba Wallace 22-1Chris Buescher 25-1Ty Gibbs 25-1Erik Jones 60-1Daniel Suarez 60-1Michael McDowell 100-1Austin Cindric 125-1Austin Dillon 150-1John Hunter Nemechek 150-1Carson Hocevar 150-1Josh Berry 200-1Noah Gragson 200-1Chase Briscoe 200-1Todd Gilliland 300-1Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 300-1Corey Lajoie 300-1Daniel Hemric 350-1Ryan Preece 350-1Harrison Burton 400-1Zane Smith 400-1Derek Kraus 450-1Justin Haley 500-1Kaz Grala 1500-1
