2023 Tour Championship odds, picks, field: Surprising PGA predictions, bets by model that nailed 10 majors
The 2023 FedEx Cup Playoffs will conclude this week with the 2023 Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. The iconic course was built in 1908 and has served as the host of the Tour Championship continuously since 2004. The current FedEx Cup Playoffs format rewards golfers with as many as 10 bonus strokes based on where they currently rank in the FedEx Cup standings. Scottie Scheffler will have a two-shot lead over Viktor Hovland to begin the Tour Championship 2023 after the two battled to a thrilling finish at the BMW Championship last week.
Scheffler is the +140 (risk $100 to win $140) favorite in the 2023 Tour Championship odds but was in the same position last year and lost to Rory McIlroy. McIlroy begins the tournament three shots off the lead and is priced at +330 in this week's PGA Tour odds, while Hovland is priced at +500. Before locking in your 2023 Tour Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. And at the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.
In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at +7000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure's best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the 2023 Tour Championship field is set, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2023 Tour Championship predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the Tour Championship 2023: Lucas Glover, who is in fifth place in the starting strokes format at 5-under par, stumbles this week and doesn't even crack the top 10. Glover has been one of the sleepers on the PGA Tour over the past few weeks, winning two tournaments to get to fifth place in the FedEx Cup standings. He won back-to-back titles at the Wyndham Championship and the FedEx St. Jude Championship earlier this month.
However, Glover cooled off last week, finishing outside the top 20 at the BMW Championship when he shot 4-under par. He has missed the cut 11 times this season, including at the 3M Open at the end of July. Glover has not cracked the top 10 at a major championship since 2009, and the model does not expect him to contend at the Tour Championship this weekend.
Another surprise: Matt Fitzpatrick, a 40-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Fitzpatrick has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 28-year-old Englishman is ranked No. 8 in the Official World Golf Ranking and enters the week sitting 10th in the FedEx Cup standings, meaning he'll begin the tournament six shots behind Scheffler.
Fitzpatrick captured his first PGA Tour title and major championship with a victory at the 2022 U.S. Open and added a second tour win earlier this season at the RBC Heritage. He added four other top-10 finishes during the 2022-23 PGA Tour season, including a T-2 finish last week at the BMW Championship. Fitzpatrick has been top 40 on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: putting the last four seasons and he could rocket up the leaderboard if he can get hot on the greens at East Lake. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2023 Tour Championship picks
The model is also targeting two other golfers with odds of 40-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.
So, who will win the Tour Championship 2023, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2023 Tour Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2023 Tour Championship leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 10 golf majors, including this year's Masters and Open Championship.
2023 Tour Championship starting score, odds
Scottie Scheffler (-10) +140Rory McIlroy (-7) +330Viktor Hovland (-8) +500Jon Rahm (-6) +800Patrick Cantlay (-4) +1600Max Homa (-4) +2800Xander Schauffele (-3) +3000Matt Fitzpatrick (-4) +4000Lucas Glover (-5) +4000Wyndham Clark (-4) +4500Tommy Fleetwood (-3) +4500Brian Harman (-4) +4500Rickie Fowler (-3) +7000Russell Henley (-3) +7500Tom Kim (-2) +11000Sungjae Im (-2) +11000Tony Finau (-2) +13000Keegan Bradley (-3) +13000Corey Conners (-2) +13000Colin Morikawa (-1) +13000Tyrrell Hatton (E) +15000Si Woo Kim (-2) +18000Jordan Spieth (E) +18000Jason Day (-1) +25000Sam Burns (E) +30000Taylor Moore (-1) +40000Sepp Straka (E) +50000Emiliano Grillo (E) +50000Adam Schenk (-1) +50000
