2023 NASCAR at Atlanta odds, predictions, start time: Model unveils shocking Ambetter Health 400 picks

We're already four races into the NASCAR Cup Series season and Chevrolet has been the dominant manufacturer, winning every race thus far. Now, they'll head to Atlanta Motor Speedway for the 2023 Ambetter Health 400 with plenty of confidence after Hendrick Motorsports swept the two races held on the 1.5-mile oval last season. William Byron won the spring race last season and is coming off back-to-back wins in Las Vegas and Phoenix.

Byron is the 9-1 favorite in the 2023 NASCAR at Atlanta odds from Caesars Sportsbook. His teammate Kyle Larson and fellow Chevy driver Kyle Busch are just behind him at 10-1 on the 2023 Atlanta NASCAR odds board. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET. Before scouring the 2023 Ambetter Health 400 starting lineup and making any 2023 NASCAR at Atlanta predictions, be sure to see the latest 2023 Ambetter Health 400 picks from SportsLine's proven NASCAR model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), and Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1). It also impressively nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping nine winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.

Top 2023 Ambetter Health 400 predictions

One surprise: the model is high on Kevin Harvick, even though he's a 20-1 long shot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Atlanta odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Harvick hasn't finished worse than 12th this season and is coming off his best run of the year at Phoenix, leading 36 laps on his way to a fifth-place finish.

The 2014 NASCAR Cup Series champion is a 60-time winner and Atlanta Motor Speedway has been one of his favorite playgrounds over the years. Harvick has won there three times and has 16 top-10 finishes in 34 career starts at the track. See who else to back at SportsLine.

And a massive shocker: William Byron, the Vegas favorite at 9-1, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top five. There are far better values in the 2023 Ambetter Health 400 starting lineup. Byron won the spring race in Atlanta last season and is coming off back-to-back wins that include a win on a 1.5-mile oval (Las Vegas), so it's no surprise that he's the favorite.

However, tire failures were an issue in Atlanta after the surface had been repaved during the offseason and additional adjustments mean the track is likely to run differently again. Byron went on to finish 30th after a crash in the summer race and has finished 17th or worse in five of his seven career Cup starts at Atlanta Motor Speedway. See which other drivers to avoid at SportsLine.

How to make 2023 NASCAR at Atlanta picks

The model is also targeting one other driver with 2023 NASCAR Atlana odds of 20-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

2023 Ambetter Health 400 odds, lineup

William Byron 9-1Kyle Larson 10-1Kyle Busch 10-1Ross Chastain 11-1Joey Logano 11-1Christopher Bell 12-1Denny Hamlin 12-1Ryan Blaney 12-1Brad Keselowski 17-1Alex Bowman 18-1Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 20-1Bubba Wallace 20-1Chris Buescher 20-1Kevin Harvick 20-1Daniel Suarez 22-1Martin Truex Jr. 22-1Aric Almirola 25-1Tyler Reddick 25-1Chase Briscoe 28-1Austin Cindric 28-1Austin Dillon 30-1Josh Berry 35-1Erik Jones 35-1Corey Lajoie 45-1Ryan Preece 50-1Todd Gilliland 50-1Michael McDowell 50-1Noah Gragson 50-1A.J. Allmendinger 50-1Justin Haley 60-1Ty Gibbs 60-1Harrison Burton 65-1Ty Dillon 250-1BJ McLeod 1000-1Cody Ware 1000-1