2023 Pennzoil 400 odds, predictions, start time, lineup: Surprising NASCAR at Las Vegas picks from top model

Trackhouse Racing has only had a NASCAR Cup Series charter since 2021, but with the Next-Gen Car creating parity, they've quickly established themselves as serious players in stock car racing. Now, the Trackhouse crew will head to Las Vegas Motor Speedway for Sunday's 2023 Pennzoil 400 with two drivers sitting top five in the NASCAR standings. After finishing as the runner-up to Joey Logano last season, Ross Chastain is in first entering the Pennzoil 400 2023, while Daniel Suarez is fifth following a 10th-place finish last year.

Chastain and Suarez have proven that their Chevy Camaros have the speed to contend and they're 8-1 and 25-1, respectively, in the 2023 Pennzoil 400 odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Kyle Busch and Kyle Larson are also in Chevrolets and the 6-1 co-favorites in the 2023 NASCAR at Las Vegas odds. Before scouring the 2023 Pennzoil 400 starting lineup and making any 2023 NASCAR at Las Vegas predictions, be sure to see the latest 2023 Pennzoil 400 picks from SportsLine's proven NASCAR model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), and Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1). It also impressively nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping nine winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.

Top 2023 Pennzoil 400 predictions

One surprise: the model is high on William Byron, even though he's a 12-1 long shot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Las Vegas odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Another Chevrolet driver for Hendrick Motorsports, Byron has made the NASCAR playoffs the last four seasons and been to victory lane the last three seasons. Plus, he's only 25 years old.

Byron won a career-best two races in 2022 and finished sixth in the final NASCAR standings. He had a top-five finish in the spring race in Las Vegas and proved he had a strong 1.5-mile setup with a win in Atlanta and top-10s in Kansas and Fort Worth. Byron has run in the top 15 for over 60% of laps run this season and turned in eight fastest laps in the first two weeks. See who else to back at SportsLine.

And a massive shocker: Ross Chastain, one of the top Vegas favorites at 8-1, stumbles big-time and doesn't even crack the top five. There are far better values in the 2023 Pennzoil 400 starting lineup. After becoming one of the most polarizing figures in the sport during a rapid rise to fame in 2022, Chastain enters the third race on the NASCAR schedule as the points-leader thanks to a pair of top-10 finishes.

However, Chastain couldn't find his way to victory lane in either of those races despite leading six laps at Daytona and a race-high 91 in Fontana last week. Despite having the most dominant car in Las Vegas last season, Chastain failed to get to victory lane in either race and had finished 20th or worse in his previous seven starts there. See which other drivers to avoid at SportsLine.

How to make 2023 NASCAR at Las Vegas picks

The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2023 NASCAR Las Vegas odds longer than 10-1 to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

2023 Pennzoil 400 odds, lineup

Kyle Busch 6-1Kyle Larson 6-1Ross Chastain 8-1Joey Logano 8-1Martin Truex Jr. 10-1Denny Hamlin 10-1Ryan Blaney 10-1Christopher Bell 12-1William Byron 12-1Kevin Harvick 15-1Alex Bowman 20-1Tyler Reddick 20-1Daniel Suarez 25-1Bubba Wallace 28-1Austin Dillon 35-1Brad Keselowski 40-1Chase Briscoe 40-1Erik Jones 50-1Austin Cindric 50-1A.J. Allmendinger 75-1Noah Gragson 75-1Ty Gibbs 75-1Aric Almirola 100-1Chris Buescher 100-1Ryan Preece 125-1Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 125-1Harrison Burton 250-1Justin Haley 300-1Michael McDowell 500-1Corey Lajoie 750-1Ty Dillon 1000-1Todd Gilliland 1000-1J.J. Yeley 2500-1Cody Ware 2500-1